Midterm elections are just 12 days away, and a lot hangs in the balance for the GOP. The Texas U.S. Senate race is one of the biggest and most closely watched of the 2026 midterms, as Attorney General Ken Paxton faces off against Democrat James Talarico.

On a recent episode of “Predictable,” BlazeTV host Stu Burguiere highlighted Texas as a major warning sign for Republicans.

Even though polling margins have narrowed between Paxton and Talarico, Stu notes that prediction markets still favor the Democrat.

“A 62% chance for James Talarico to win that race, according to Kalshi right now,” he says.

But he still leaves the door open for Republicans: “Republicans could easily win Texas.”

He notes that one of the show’s recurring thesis points is that voters often “come home” closer to Election Day.

“If you’re a Republican voter, maybe you’re a little upset with Paxton, you get to that voting booth, you kind of say, ‘You know what, I don’t want a Democrat Senate,’ so you might come home,” he says.

The Texas governor’s race between Republican incumbent Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa looks more promising for the GOP, but only moderately so, says Stu.

“Greg Abbott in my own state here in Texas [is the] 73% favorite over Gina Hinojosa, who’s running a lot of ads now,” he adds.

“Now it’s got to the point where every single ad is one of these candidates in Texas. They’re spending hundreds of millions of dollars. It’s amazing to watch in action.”

While Abbott currently holds a clear lead on the markets, Stu warns that “Democrats do have a chance to win” the gubernatorial race.

Watch the full episode of “Predictable” to see Stu’s complete Senate map breakdown, how the prediction markets are pricing other key races, and why he thinks some of the movement toward Democrats may be more about money flowing into the markets than actual polling shifts.

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​2026 midterm election, Ken paxton, Prediction markets, Stu burguiere, Greg abbott, James talarico, Stu buguiere, Blazetv show 

A pair of 15-year-old females are accused of conspiring to carry out a school shooting in Southern California — and they allegedly had a hit list.

Authorities said the investigation began Oct. 6 after the FBI alerted the Corona Police Department and the Riverside County Sheriff’s Office about social media threats targeting Corona High School, KABC-TV reported.

‘The average suspect that commits a crime like this is going to do it independently or by themselves, and it is not very common for them to be females.’

Detectives arrested a female who attends Corona High School, the station said, adding that detectives then identified and arrested another girl who attends Norco High School after a search of several homes in Riverside County and an examination of electronic devices and messages.

KABC, citing police, said search warrants uncovered evidence that the teenage females had spent several months researching school shootings and discussing how they could potentially carry out an attack at Corona High School.

The investigation also revealed the pair discussed how they could obtain weapons to carry out the attack, police told the station.

Authorities said no weapons were found during the home searches, KABC noted, adding that both teens remain in custody on charges of conspiracy to commit murder.

KCBS-TV reported that the Riverside County District Attorney’s Office said it couldn’t confirm the charges or the suspects’ identities because of their ages.

“The average suspect that commits a crime like this is going to do it independently or by themselves, and it is not very common for them to be females,” Corona Police Lt. Robert Montanez told KCBS, while adding that the suspects had a map of the high school campus and ways to get around the law and acquire guns, as well as “specifics how they would carry out the attack.”

KCBS added that the teens allegedly had a list of targets that included both students and teachers — and potentially were planning some sort of revenge.

RELATED: Teenager fatally shoots 3 children, teacher at Oregon elementary school before parent shoots gunman dead, police say

Research cited by NPR found that only about 3% of school shootings involve female perpetrators, KABC reported.

Those with information about this case are urged to call Corona Police Det. Edwards at 951-279-3656 or email george.edwards@coronaca.gov, KABC added.

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​Arrests, California, Fbi, Hit list, School shooting, Teen girls, Crime 

Thousands if not millions of families in Texas recently received a pamphlet in the mail titled “Texas Trans and LGBTQ+ Student Resource Guide,” seemingly providing information to trans-identifying minors seeking emancipation from their parents and/or sex-rejection procedures.

There was widespread outrage but also skepticism over the mailers, especially after the radical organization named and promoted in the pamphlet — the Transgender Education Network of Texas — denied responsibility for it.

‘I think that their own materials … like their “Back to School Toolkit” — I think they deserve scrutiny as well.’

TENT says it was not responsible, and evidence points to a possible election-time “op” by an out-of-state actor. However, critics have observed that the controversial messaging in the flyer greatly resembles what has been pushed by TENT and other trans activist outfits in the state.

Disavowal

The pamphlet states, “You are not alone. There are people in Texas who will help you find support.”

BlazeTV host Sara Gonzales, X

After discussing emancipation, “what to do if your parents don’t support you,” and “what to know about hormones or gender affirming care,” the pamphlet devotes two pages to promoting TENT and its “Trans Texas Takeover Fall Tour,” which is an actual tour with upcoming events scheduled across the state.

Earlier in the month, multiple phone numbers sent provocative texts to Texans also linking to TENT’s newly scrubbed website and its “Back to School Toolkit,” reported the Tribune.

One text allegedly stated, “New school year? Here’s your complete guide on bathrooms and beyond for trans kids at school,” with a link to a TENT toolkit.

RELATED: Talarico slithered around the truth at his town hall. Here’s the gaslighting he tried to pull.

L-R: David Buono/Icon Sportswire/Getty Images; Luis Soto/SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images

These communications prompted outrage and an investigation request by Texas state Rep. Jeff Leach (R).

Leach has since supplemented his request, asking Texas Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton to look into the “possibility that the communications and associated toolkit may not originate from the group whose name it was sent under.”

Paxton’s office did not immediately respond to Blaze News’ request for comment.

TENT has disavowed the pamphlet and the text messages.

TENT noted in a statement on its website, “We are aware of text messages and now physical mailers that have been circulated concerning TENT that appear to have been issued by or on behalf of the organization. These text messages and mailers were not authored, authorized, approved, or distributed by TENT and are not affiliated with our organization. The texts do not represent the official position or communications of the organization.”

Mimi Marziani, a lawyer at the law firm retained by TENT, told NBC News, “This was deliberately injected into public conversation right as early voting was taking place, and I do not think it was a coincidence.”

While TENT has denied involvement, Jonathan Covey, the director of policy for Texas Values, told Blaze News, “I think that their own materials that they do have and that we have been able to see — like their ‘Back to School Toolkit‘ — I think they deserve scrutiny as well. We think that some of the positions that they take undermine parents’ roles in their children’s lives.”

Covey underscored the need to identify the individuals behind the mailer and how they “obtained all that mailing information.”

“Families deserve answers about where that information came from,” added Covey.

Origin

WFAA-TV, KHOU-TV, the Texas Tribune, and sleuths online have connected the pamphlet back to a limited liability company that was registered in Wyoming last month, reinforcing suspicions that this mailing campaign may have been an election-time “op” all along.

The return sender listed on the mailer is “Texas Transgender Student Union,” an outfit that does not appear to be an organization with a presence in the state. The return address in Meadows Place, Texas, isn’t a valid address, referring instead to the middle of a street. It also appears to be a look-alike address modeled on Transgender Education Network of Texas’ address.

Snopes highlighted, however, that a similar address turns up a nearby mailbox at a UPS store.

The Texas Observer’s Steven Monacelli discovered this week that the Texas Transgender Student Union “is a real organization — but it was only formed in September in Wyoming as an LLC and is entirely separate from TENT, the organization marketed in the fliers.”

Wyoming Secretary of State Business Center

The LLC’s registered agent is the popular corporate filing service Northwest Registered Agent LLC; its organizer is listed as Taylor Newman; and it is tied to an address in Sheridan, Wyoming, which has been linked to various companies accused of scams.

Newman did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Northwest Registered Agent told WFAA-TV:

One of our main jobs is receiving state and legal notices for our clients and forwarding them promptly. This gives agencies a way to serve legal notices on companies, even if they don’t have a physical office location, and it keeps businesses reachable by law enforcement and regulators. That is where our involvement ends. We have no way of knowing someone’s intent when they’re forming a new company, and Northwest Registered Agent has no knowledge of, or involvement in, our clients’ business operations.

TENT has reportedly sent a cease-and-desist notice to the Texas Transgender Student Union as well as to a pair of digital messaging companies that reportedly delivered the text messages on Oct. 12 and 13.

The Senate campaigns of state Rep. James Talarico (D) and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton did not respond to a request for comment from Blaze News but told CBS News Texas that they had nothing to do with the LGBT mailer.

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​Ken paxton, James talarico, Transgender, Lgbt, Radicalism, Politics 

Tech trillionaire Elon Musk issued a warning to Democrats after hearing their plans to investigate him over his time in the Trump administration.

Musk was responding to an article with a bevy of comments from Democrats saying they will hound him and his many companies if they win power in the midterm elections.

‘Those who pick fights with me should understand that I will find out who is really pulling the strings and come for them, not just their puppets.’

Democrats have long accused Musk of having various conflicts of interest with the actions he took when he headed up the Department of Government Efficiency.

“Live by the sword, die by the sword. Those who pick fights with me should understand that I will find out who is really pulling the strings and come for them, not just their puppets …” he wrote Wednesday on X, the social media platform he owns.

In another post, he responded to liberal talking head Kara Swisher claiming Musk could have been in jail if Kamala Harris had won the 2024 presidential election.

“And that’s not because she’s some avenging fury. It’s because there’s a lot of questions around different companies of his,” she said.

“If Donald Trump loses the House and the Senate … I’d be worried if I were him! No matter how rich he is, there are all these agencies, some of which he put a knife in and killed in the DOGE, many of whom were investigating him,” she claimed. “He stopped half a dozen investigations of his various companies.”

Musk responded simply, “Message received.”

Democrat Rep. Pramila Jayapal of Washington pointed to recent allegations that Musk had restricted Ukraine’s use of Starlink internet ahead of a damaging Russian attack.

“What happens when one guy gets a giant contract from the government and then uses it to do something that shuts down communication in a war that has been extremely important to the United States to support Ukraine?” she said.

RELATED: ‘False and misleading and nonsense’: Elon Musk CRUSHES editor on ‘far right’ accusations

“Congress must demand a full accounting of the damage Mr. Musk and DOGE caused, and we will not let anyone obstruct our oversight,” said Rep. Gregory Meeks (D-N.Y.), who is also a ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

Spokespeople for Musk did not respond to multiple requests from Politico for comment.

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​Democrats, Department of government efficiency, Elon musk, Midterm elections, Politics, Trump administration 

Winston Churchill helped lead Britain through the Second World War, wrote millions of words, and won the Nobel Prize in literature. He also took a nap every afternoon.

And he didn’t simply doze off in an armchair. He got undressed and climbed into bed, equipped with custom-fitted beeswax earplugs to shut out the bustle of wartime London. His naps were sacrosanct, even as the demands of running a country at war frequently kept him working well past midnight.

There’s even a technique called the ‘nappuccino’: Drink a cup of coffee immediately before a short nap, so the caffeine starts working around the time you wake up.

“Nature has not intended mankind to work from eight in the morning until midnight without that refreshment of blessed oblivion,” he wrote in his wartime memoir “The Grand Alliance.”

The British Bulldog would probably have had little patience for the latest headlines warning that daytime napping may be linked to dementia.

Dementia danger?

The warnings follow a new study from Johns Hopkins researchers involving 995 Americans ages 65 and older. Researchers examined their napping habits and tracked them for up to a decade. Those who napped most days or every day had a 48% higher relative hazard of developing dementia than those who rarely or never napped.

That’s a sufficiently alarming figure to make anyone think twice about an afternoon snooze. But a closer look at the findings offers some reassurance to those of us who enjoy one.

People who fell asleep unintentionally had a 39% higher relative hazard of dementia. Those who deliberately chose to nap, however, showed no statistically significant association with dementia after the researchers adjusted for other factors.

The study also found an association for naps lasting 30 minutes or less, so the findings aren’t an unqualified endorsement of the power nap. Nor can the researchers say whether napping contributes to dementia or whether the changes associated with developing dementia make people sleepier during the day.

For now, at least, the recliner can stay.

Churchill’s second day

Churchill regarded his afternoon nap as indispensable to getting through the day. And he had little patience for half measures.

As he explained to Walter Graebner, a Time-Life executive who worked with him on his war memoirs, the proper way to nap was to take off your clothes, get into bed, and sleep. No dozing in a chair with your shoes on.

He also rejected the notion that an afternoon rest meant accomplishing less. He believed his routine effectively gave him a day and a half for every ordinary day.

Churchill’s sleeping habits were unconventional even by the standards of men who worked late. He often conducted business from bed in the morning, took his afternoon nap, and returned to work deep into the night. The beeswax earplugs were no legend, either: The International Churchill Society reported that a pair, along with the plaster casts used to make them, were auctioned in 2012.

Of course, Churchill’s habits don’t prove that napping is healthy. His prodigious consumption of alcohol and cigars hardly makes him a model for preventive medicine. But nobody could accuse the man of being lazy.

RELATED: Apparently, we need experts to teach us how to walk now

Icon Sportswire/Getty Images

Sleep like a soldier

Soldiers have a reputation for being able to sleep almost anywhere, whenever the opportunity presents itself. It’s a useful ability in a profession where a missed night’s sleep can have rather more serious consequences than a sluggish afternoon at the office.

The U.S. Army even has a name for the practice: tactical napping.

According to guidance from the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, tactical naps are brief periods of sleep intended to restore and sustain military readiness. Soldiers are encouraged to nap before anticipated sleep deprivation and during extended operations when circumstances permit.

The trick is to nap before you’re exhausted, not just after. Walter Reed recommends finding somewhere dark, quiet, and comfortable and allowing yourself time to shake off the grogginess afterward. There’s even a technique called the “nappuccino”: Drink a cup of coffee immediately before a short nap, so the caffeine starts working around the time you wake up.

NASA has also studied the benefits of a well-timed snooze. In an experiment involving long-haul airline pilots, those given the opportunity to rest slept for about 26 minutes on average and subsequently performed better and remained more alert than pilots who stayed awake.

Lead researcher Mark Rosekind later put the improvements at 34% in performance and 54% in physiological alertness.

Twenty-six minutes of sleep and a measurable improvement in the ability to do your job. How’s that for a productivity hack? No cold plunges, carefully timed sun exposure, or adaptogenic mushrooms required.

Permission to nap

Frequent, unexplained daytime sleepiness can be a sign of inadequate nighttime rest, a sleep disorder, medication effects, or an underlying medical condition. Nor can a nap make up for consistently failing to get enough sleep at night.

But there’s a considerable difference between repeatedly falling asleep when you don’t intend to and deliberately setting aside a little time to rest.

For most healthy adults who find naps useful, 20 to 30 minutes in the early afternoon is a reasonable place to start. Nap too late and you may interfere with nighttime sleep. Sleep too long and you risk waking up groggy.

And if you need a more dignified justification than simply being tired, tell your colleagues you’re following the example of Winston Churchill and the United States Army.

​Literature, Make america healthy again, Sleep, Winston churchill, Lifestyle, Napping 

The decline of mainstream media was supposed to create a better-informed public. Instead, the “red-pilling” of the masses — which BlazeTV host John Doyle calls “normies” — have caused them to trade one media bubble for another.

“It hasn’t made them better informed. It hasn’t made them better at critical thinking. They are looking at the reflexive impulse some people have to believe everything, and they have the same reflexive impulse to disbelieve everything, but they are not actually seeking truth independently,” Doyle argues.

He likens it to being in the “labyrinth.”

“I’m in the labyrinth. … I’m seeking the truth. What happens if a bunch of r*****ed people are now in the labyrinth with me? Do you think they’re going to be better able to navigate?” he asks.

“Do you think that they’re going to be able to arrive at the truth? No,” he answers. “They’re going to freak out and be anxious all the time and spur out, and they’re going to summon the Minotaur with their screaming and their crying and their complaining. This is not actually good.”

These people, he says, “would be better if they were just watching CNN because CNN will rack up all of the dubs from the Trump administration.”

“They will talk about the greatest effort to combat legal immigration in a century,” he explains, noting that while “everything is going so well,” no one wants to know it.

“People want the mythology. They want to be entertained. They want to think that guy that they trusted actually freaking betrayed them,” he says.

“When you’re arguing with a normie, when you are arguing with an Instagram-Reels American, guess what you’re arguing with? You’re arguing with Instagram Reels, and the reels cannot hear you,” he continues.

Doyle uses the Epstein files as an example, saying, “You still have people bringing this up.”

“They talk about the Epstein class,” he says. “Even leftist politicians, you know, people who like openly advocate for the mass importation of the demographics most likely to traffic children. Complete amnesty for the demographics most likely to engage in the abuse of children.”

“They literally want to pass laws to make this no longer illegal. Anyway, these people are now very concerned about the Epstein class,” he continues.

“They want to believe that all of these people, even if they’re evil, are in control and everything that’s going on is going, you know perfectly according to their plan. And that’s because they have these feelings, maybe because of their own incompetence or their own failures,” he adds.

These “red-pilled normies,” he says, “want to believe they don’t have agency in their own lives.”

“And so the solution is just to keep bitching on the internet and do nothing and wait for some kind of collapse,” he adds.

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​Normies, Red pill, Jeffrey epstein, John doyle, Blazetv show 

The next major political crisis in America is not going to be a spontaneous one, according to research by conservative analyst DataRepublican.

“At this very moment, a powerful group of quasi-government elites are quietly plotting to stage massive civil unrest in our nation. That means violence. And if not for one person, you might not have known about this at all until suddenly you came face to face with that violence,” BlazeTV host Liz Wheeler explains.

DataRepublican, who Wheeler notes “helped Elon Musk’s team dig up tangled webs of corruption in the belly of the swamp,” has now “unearthed a chilling plan concocted by the far left to stage a coup and topple the United States government.”

“And it’s about to take place,” she warns.

The plan, she says, works like this: “If Democrats take both the House and the Senate in the midterm elections here in a couple of weeks, if Democrats win both houses of Congress, then this plot will be activated. That’s its trigger.”

“DSA radicals will suddenly take to the streets, becoming foot soldiers, is what they’re calling themselves in this campaign. Their goal is to create constant clashes with the administration, particularly between these DSA foot soldiers and law enforcement — federal law enforcement — deliberately crossing what they’re calling the ‘red line,’” she explains.

“They will do this deliberately to provoke what they call a doomsday response from President Trump. Specifically, they intend by their violence to provoke President Trump into invoking the Insurrection Act,” she continues. “They plan for this in 2027.”

When Trump invokes the Insurrection Act, the DSA plot only thickens.

“The DSA will then attempt to delegitimize the entire federal government as a result, provoking Democrat governors in blue states across the country to openly rebel against President Trump in the name of quote-unquote democracy,” Wheeler says.

“The result will be a complete destabilization of our government with the express ultimate goal of annihilating our system of self-governance, which they hate. They will use their pseudo civil war as their battle cry for 2028,” she continues.

“And once they’ve seized power in 2028, they plan to impose their entire anti-American, anti-freedom, anti-God, anti-capitalism, anti-private-property, anti-nuclear-family, anti-Christian, demonic communist agenda on you,” she adds.

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​Liz wheeler, Data republican, Democratic socialists of america, Doomsday, Donald trump, Midterm elections, Blazetv show 

Android already has spam protection for phone calls and text messages. But while these features can help curb unwanted communications from shady characters, it is not always obvious when you’re getting scammed on the calls or messages you accept in real time. For this, Android has a new scam detection solution powered by Gemini.

The advent of AI has made it easier for scammers to target individuals and trick them into handing over personal data or money. Thanks to voice cloning technology and deepfake videos that can impersonate real humans you may know in real life, some of these scams are sophisticated enough to deceive even the more suspicious among us.

You are essentially inviting it to scan through your personal information and analyze it in search of scammy behavior.

But just as AI has made the call and texting scam landscape more hazardous to tread, AI might also be the thing to save us — or at least that is what Google believes. The company recently announced new scam protection features for Google Messages on Android that are powered by Google Gemini.

Once enabled, the new enhanced AI-powered scam features offer three points of additional protection over Google’s existing scam prevention capabilities. They:

Use Google’s powerful cloud servers to analyze long conversation threads within the Google Messages app, searching for signs of scammer intent based on the context of the conversations. Search for malicious links — both existing and newly generated — within messages and flags them as unsafe to keep users from clicking on them.Offer a redesigned warning system that gives users more time to stop and consider the safety of links embedded within messages to prevent accidental clicks.

The catch, of course, is that to use the new AI-powered scam protection features in Android, you have to trust Gemini to keep an eye on your text messages. You are essentially inviting it to scan through your personal information and analyze it in search of scammy behavior.

Google thought about this beforehand, which is why all conversations are routed through Private AI Compute, a system Google introduced in late 2025 that isolates your data on Google’s servers with additional privacy, security, and encryption in place. According to Google, “This ensures sensitive data processed by Private AI Compute remains accessible only to you and no one else, not even Google.”

To further ease concerns, the enhanced scam protection features in Google Messages are entirely opt-in, so you can choose to disregard, if you don’t want Gemini snooping through your texts.

RELATED: Time to declare independence from phishing scams — here’s how

vchal/Getty Images

In addition to better scam prevention tools for Google Messages, Google also brought two meaningful upgrades to scam call protection:

Automatic screen-share privacy now hides private content, like passwords, credit card information, and banking details in Chrome and Android WebView while in screen-sharing mode with friends, family, or colleagues. These features are in addition to existing screen share protections available in native apps.Proactive call-forwarding protection prevents incoming callers from forwarding your call to another number in an attempt to steal one-time passcodes that would give them access to one of your accounts.

Enhanced protection mode for Google Messages is rolling out to users now, first on Google Pixel and “hundreds of millions of additional users later this year.” As for added protections for phone calls, these will be implemented automatically.

If you haven’t already enabled Android’s existing spam text and call features, follow our detailed guides at the links. Both of these can help you reclaim a bit of peace from incessant scammers trying to trick you into turning over personal information.

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​Android, Personal data, Scammers, Tech 

Hollywood’s commitment to diversity is hollow, according to rapper and television producer Curtis “50 Cent” Jackson.

The “Power” producer says the industry’s investment in black programming fails to match its rhetoric.

‘They’re not screaming for diversity. Are you crazy?’

OG Hollywood

“They’re not screaming for diversity. Are you crazy?” Jackson told Andrew Schulz on his podcast “Flagrant.”

“They don’t care to see you n*****s on the TV, bro,” he laughed.

Jackson appears alongside Schulz in the new “Street Fighter” adaptation, which opened October 16. Their conversation turned to the difficulty of building a television business and the kinds of projects Hollywood is willing to finance.

Jackson argued that “white Hollywood,” which he called “the original Hollywood,” remains the industry’s most commercially successful model.

Movies starring Robert De Niro and Al Pacino, he said, attracted audiences across racial and national lines because they were well made and properly financed. Viewers could see themselves in the characters regardless of their own backgrounds.

Jackson pointed to Tony Montana, the Cuban refugee played by Pacino in “Scarface,” as a character whose ambition resonated with audiences far beyond his own nationality.

But Jackson also sees a business opportunity in the industry’s funding priorities: He faces fewer well-financed competitors making programming for his audience.

“If you make diversity, I’m up against not so many fabulously financed projects,” he explained.

RELATED: SENIOR MOMENT: Veteran ‘SNL’ player breaks ranks to scold Shane Gillis for jokes

American stream

Jackson executive produces the “Power” franchise, which grew out of the Starz crime drama that aired from 2014 to 2020.

He said the rise of streaming services has helped create an opening for his work, with competing platforms needing shows that bring in subscribers.

“So when I come in, I’m able to to create s**t that is beyond ‘up to standard’ because of the landscape of the business. I’m coming at a time that you got streamers and apps and all of these different things.”

RELATED: Dana Carvey has just one word for Shane Gillis’ controversial ‘SNL’ routine

Johnny Nunez/WireImage

Where is the love?

Jackson also questioned why the “Power” franchise’s popularity with black and Latino audiences had failed to translate into Emmy recognition.

“They don’t care about diversity. Trust me,” he said. “I’ve been No. 1 in African-American and Latino households for, and this s**t is crazy, like for 13 years.”

While none of the dramas he produced have won Emmys, Jackson took home a trophy for his 2022 performance in the Super Bowl halftime show.

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​50 cent, Diversity, Hollywood, Andrew schulz, Entertainment